Lesson 10 of 12 · 9 min

How pairs move together

Many pairs share the US dollar, so trades on different pairs can be the same bet. Learn to count your exposure per currency before you add a trade.

By the end you'll be able to

  • Explain why pairs that share a currency often move together
  • Split open trades into currencies and count your exposure to each
  • Check a per-currency risk cap before adding a new trade

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  • 12 short lessons with quizzes and interactive tools
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So far you have met each pair on its own. Your account does not see them that way. Buy EUR/USD, buy GBP/USD and sell USD/CHF, and you have made roughly one trade against the dollar, three times over.

One dollar, many pairs

Typical correlation between pairs

EUR/USDGBP/USDAUD/USDUSD/JPYUSD/CHFUSD/CAD
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
AUD/USD
USD/JPY
USD/CHF
USD/CAD

Tap any cell to see what that correlation means for two open positions.

How many times are you really betting on the dollar?

Illustrative long-run tendencies between six major pairs, not live data. Tap a cell to read it, then tick positions in the counter to see your real dollar exposure.

Every currency pair on the grid contains the US dollar. That shared currency is why the pairs tend to move together. Correlation measures how closely: +1 means always together, −1 always opposite, 0 no link.

Read the colours. Green cells are pairs with the dollar on the same side: EUR/USD and GBP/USD often move together (about +0.85 in this illustrative grid). Red cells are pairs with the dollar on opposite sides: when the dollar strengthens, EUR/USD tends to fall while USD/CHF tends to rise, so they typically mirror each other (about −0.90 here).

Now tick Buy EUR/USD, Buy GBP/USD and Sell USD/JPY in the counter. Three pairs, three different partner currencies, but all three are short the dollar.

Tendencies, not rules

The numbers on the grid are a summary of the past, not a property of the pairs. They drift for two common reasons.

  • One currency gets its own story. A surprise from the Bank of England can move GBP/USD while EUR/USD barely reacts, and the link weakens for a while.
  • A panic. In a risk-off rush, traders often treat everything as a dollar or safe-haven decision, and links between dollar pairs tend to tighten. That is when you most need your trades to be independent, and when they often are not.

Shared drivers matter too. AUD/USD and NZD/USD usually move closely because both are commodity currencies, not only because they share the dollar. USD/JPY tends to have a weaker link to the others, because the yen has strong drivers of its own.

So treat any reading as a tendency to check. A safer default: if two trades share a currency on the same side, count them together, whatever the table says.

Count currencies, not trades

You do not need a correlation number to see what you are betting on. Split every trade into its two currencies. Buying a pair makes you long the base currency and short the quote currency; selling does the reverse. Then add up how many times each currency appears on the same side.

The practical rule has two limits. Your normal risk per trade, plus a cap on total risk to any one currency, often around 1.5–2% of the account. Trades that share a currency are sized as a group to fit inside that cap. The correlation risk lesson adds a third limit on total open risk.

Losses can also exceed the planned figure if the market gaps past a stop, so the cap is a ceiling for planning, not a promise.

Try it

Before you add a trade

0 of 6

Notice how none of the six checks needs a correlation number: counting currencies still works on the days when the coefficients have shifted.

Quick check

Quick check

  1. Question 1 of 4

    You are long EUR/USD, long GBP/USD and short USD/CHF. What is your main exposure?

Go deeper: Currency correlation: how to avoid doubling your risk · Safe-haven currencies · Commodity currencies

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